According to the Real Estate Economic Institute, 3,125 brand new apartments were released for sale in greater Tokyo in October, down 6.3% from the previous month and down 10.9% from last year. This is the 9th month in a row to see a year-on-year decline in supply.
The drop in supply is due primarily to an expected drop in demand following the increase in consumption tax in April 2014, as well as rising construction costs which are limiting the viability of many projects for developers. Sales for apartments priced under 40 million Yen have become particularly slow in recent months.
With recent data showing the second consecutive quarter of negative GDP growth in Japan, it seems highly probable that the next planned increase in the consumption tax rate will be delayed. A spokesperson from the Institute believes a delay in the next tax rise will provide a very positive benefit for the market.
1,978 apartments were sold, making the contract rate 63.3%, down 8.3 points from the previous month and down 16.3 points from last year. This is the lowest contract rate seen since February 2009 when it reached 61.7%. This is also the second month in a row where the rate has dropped below the 70% level which is considered to be the line between a positive and negative market conditions.
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